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‘North Korea has already won’: US urges abandon denuclearization ‘farce’

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Experts urged the United States to concede defeat in its campaign to persuade North Korea to give up its nuclear weapons and focus on risk reduction and arms control measures instead.

On Tuesday, North Korea launched a missile ballistic missile over japan For the first time since 2017, it drew renewed condemnation from Washington and its allies.

The United States and South Korea responded with joint military exercises and missile launches in the Sea of ​​Japan, while the nuclear-powered US aircraft carrier Ronald Reagan made a rare detour to return to waters east of the Korean Peninsula after a recent visit.

But analysts said the militaristic gestures and fighting words from Washington, Seoul and Tokyo belie the fact that they have run out of ideas and containment options. North Korea’s nuclear weapons a program.

Experts have argued that the United States and its allies should focus on agreeing with Pyongyang’s steps to reduce the risk of conflict on the Korean peninsula, even if it is a tacit acceptance that North Korea will continue to possess nuclear weapons.

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“The insistence on nuclear disarmament is not just a failure, it has turned into a farce,” said Ankit Panda, a nuclear weapons expert at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in Washington.

“They experience, we respond, and we move on with our lives,” Panda added. North Korea has already won. It’s a bitter pill, but at some point we’ll have to swallow it.”

South Korea and the United States conducted joint military exercises in response to North Korea’s recent weapons test. Analysts say the arms race in Asia has made it unlikely that Pyongyang will agree to denuclearization © South Korean Defense Ministry/AFP/Getty Images

US and Korean officials insisted that even tacit acceptance of North Korea’s status as a nuclear-armed state would have serious consequences for global nonproliferation efforts.

Last month, Kim Jong-un Modifying North Korea’s Nuclear Doctrine To allow preemptive strikes. Previous policy only allowed the use of nuclear weapons in a second-strike scenario.

“There will be no declaration of ‘giving up our nuclear weapons’ or ‘denuclearization’, nor any kind of negotiation or bargaining to fulfill the other party’s terms,” ​​Kim declared. As long as nuclear weapons exist on the ground and imperialism exists. . . Our path towards promoting nuclear energy will not stop.”

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“The window for the denuclearization process has closed,” said Jenny Town, director of the 38 North Program at the Stimson Research Center in Washington.

Town noted the escalating arms race in East Asia and the rising tensions between the United States and China. “It’s unrealistic to think, in the midst of all this, that North Korea will consider denuclearization when everyone, including South Korea, is arming,” she said.

“Once the relationship improves and geopolitical trends shift in a more positive direction, perhaps we can talk about the nuclear program again. But that seems very far away.”

“Kim’s message is as follows: ‘We have nuclear weapons, we will have them forever and we will use them as we see fit,’” said Andrei Lankov, a professor of history at Kookmin University in Seoul and a leading expert on North Korea.

Lankov argued that Pyongyang would not support talks as long as Washington maintains North Korea’s denuclearization Even as a distant political goal, while Congress and the American public would not accept anything less than North Korea’s capitulation on this issue.

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“The American people want their government to pursue a dangerous and unattainable dream, but the North Koreans have made it clear that they are not going to play this game,” Lankoff said. “The only way to persuade them to consider restrictions on their nuclear weapons is to pay them well for it, scandalously.”

North Korea has avoided diplomacy since 2019, when the latest series of summits between Kim and then US President Donald Trump collapsed in Hanoi.

In January 2021, Kim outlined capabilities he intended to acquire within five years, including tactical nuclear weapons, maneuverable missiles, solid-fuel ICBMs, and nuclear submarines.

Weapons experts said the North Korean regime has made significant progress on multiple fronts, despite tough international sanctions and Kim’s closure of the country’s borders in 2020 in response to the coronavirus pandemic.

Cooperation among the permanent members of the United Nations Security Council on North Korea also collapsed following the Russian invasion of Ukraine, easing pressure on Pyongyang.

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North Korea has also taken advantage of Russia’s international isolation Strengthen close relationships with Moscow. On Wednesday, the Security Council failed to condemn Pyongyang’s missile launch after Russia and China blamed Washington for ignoring North Korea’s security concerns.

“Most senior US officials working on North Korea policy now understand privately that denuclearization will not happen, but they cannot or will not say it publicly,” said Chad O’Carroll, founder of the Korea Risk Group, a consultancy.

Banda noted that policymakers should be particularly concerned about North Korea’s development of low-yield tactical nuclear weapons that could be deployed against South Korea.

“Nuclear war may end with ICBMs, but it is more likely to start with a tactical nuclear weapon — it is very dangerous and worrisome,” Banda said. “This may be the ability Kim is waiting for before he turns to nuclear coercion or regional review against the South.”

He said the longer Washington waits before recognizing the fact that North Korean nuclear weapons are here to stay, the larger and more sophisticated Pyongyang’s arsenal will become, and the higher the cost Kim will be able to extract in inevitable future negotiations.

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“It is not in the national interest of the United States to let this fester,” Banda said.


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How to get a hero out of the tension of a World Cup penalty shootout

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How do you take a penalty kick and how do you save it? With the knockout stages of the World Cup kicking off on Saturday, these questions could determine who wins the trophy. In the 2018 tournament, four knockout round matches were drawn after 120 minutes and won on penalties. This time around, some teams have prepared better than ever. Others have not.

The first thing you should know is how your opponents shoot. In general, each player must answer one question: do you wait for the guard to move? Croatian Luka Modric Do. He runs slowly, raises his head, and the guard watches for the slightest sign—even a raised heel—which direction to move. In that Capricorn, Modryc He hits the ball the other way. He converted 21 of his 24 penalties, or 88 percent, according to Market transfer. The conversion rate at the soccer level has dropped over the past decade from 82 percent to around 75 percent, possibly because data analysis helps teams decipher crossed balls.

Guard confronts Modric – or Poland’s Robert Lewandowski – will want to stay still for as long as possible. It worked for Uruguay’s Sergio Rochet against Ghana on Friday: Unfazed by Andre Ayew’s slower style, he chose the right corner, helping Uruguay qualify for the knockouts at the Ghanaians’ expense.

Harry Kane, England’s chief penalty taker, requires a different approach, as he does not mark the goalkeeper. His former club coach Jose Mourinho once said: “Harry decides . . . a few days before the game how he’s going to take it and then he spends three or four days before the game practicing that shot and I love that.” Kane changes the direction of penalties well, so the goalkeeper must choose a side more or less randomly, and immediately dive. Good luck: Ken’s conversion rate is 85 percent.

Lesser bowlers sometimes oscillate between Kane and Modry’s strategyc‘s. One such example is France’s Antoine Griezmann, who missed five of the last seven penalties.

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Italy goalkeeper Gianluigi Donnarumma saves a penalty kick taken by England’s Bukayo Saka in the Euro 2020 final at Wembley © Paul Elellis / AFP / Getty Images

Argentina’s Lionel Messi also has a flaw in his approach that will become apparent to analysts who study sequence rather than simply counting the number of penalties taken into any corner: he rarely repeats his last kick. Last week, Messi scored to the right of the Saudi goalkeeper, then hit a powerful ball to the left of Poland’s Wojciech Chesney, who saved it. According to Transfermarkt, the best footballer in the world has an average career fine conversion rate of 77 per cent. Portuguese rival Cristiano “Binaldo” Ronaldo leads by six percentage points.

But these are specialists, and in the penalty shootout, the team must select five players. Players who normally wouldn’t take penalties suddenly find themselves making the long, lonely walk to take the kick of a lifetime. Under intense pressure, few would dare to coldly wait for the goalkeeper’s move. Instead, inexperienced kickers tend to take the simplest penalty: pushing to the “normal side”, which for a right-footed kicker means the right of the goalkeeper. The historic conversion rate in a World Cup penalty shootout is just 70.3 percent, according to estimates Opta data provider.

The Dutch nominated one of their three guards as the “hit killer”, but did not reveal his identity. If it wasn’t for the starting player Andres Noppert, then coach Louis van Gaal might bring in the specialist before a penalty shootout, as he did with Tim Krul in the 2014 World Cup against Costa Rica. Kroll stood tall above every opponent’s kicking, trash-talking, and the Dutch won.

It was the case of a goalkeeper’s aura that intimidated opponents. One of the beneficiaries of that in Qatar may be Swiss Jan Sommer, who has graduated from regular penalty taker to penalty taker: since September 2019, he has saved five out of the 11 he has faced in all competitions.

England have suffered more penalties than any other country except Spain. When Gareth Southgate became their manager in 2016, they lost five hits in a row. Southgate, who himself missed the decisive penalty for England in the Euro 1996 semi-final against Germany, attempted to recreate the full atmosphere of a penalty shootout in training sessions. As Paul Hayward writes in his book, his men also learned a key statistic England Football: The Biography. “Players who run slowly score 80 percent of the time, while those who run more quickly score only 60 percent.”

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Southgate has removed some of the responsibility from his players by choosing England kickers himself. This removes the sight of an exhausted coach begging, stressing the players to go, as Spain coach Fernando Hierro did against Russia in 2018. Striker Diego Costa was caught on television cameras warning of Cook’s selection. “Coca-Cola is good,” Hierro insisted. After the midfielder missed and Russia won, Costa said, “I told you.”

And the managerial choice to stop incompetent penalty takers, such as England’s Raheem Sterling, from volunteering backfires. Southgate’s side beat Colombia on penalties in the last World Cup. But homework can’t guarantee success: England lost the Euro 2020 final on penalties, perhaps upset by the size and brilliance of Italy’s 6ft 5in goalkeeper Gianluigi Donnarumma.

Luck is important in a penalty shootout. But to paraphrase golfer Arnold Palmer, the more prepared teams are, the luckier they are at getting it.


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How to watch FIFA World Cup Round of 16 matches in Qatar broadcast live online for free without cable: Fox, FS1, Telemundo

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The United States pulled off a thrilling victory over Iran on Tuesday, but that was just the beginning of the long road to the FIFA Championship. The last 16, also known as the knockout round, kicks off on Saturday. One loss will send packing teams off.

There are no links. There is no second chance. The competition is much tougher than the group stage.

Sports stars are still in contention. Portugal, led by Cristiano Ronaldo, went through the knockout round, as did Argentina, led by Lionel Messi.

The stakes — and the drama — are high. And while most fans will be heading home (or at a favorite watering hole) over the weekend, don’t be surprised if some escape in the early part of next week. If you’re hoping to catch the action, here’s what you need to know.

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When will the United States face the Netherlands in the 2022 World Cup?

The United States and the Netherlands will start the Round of 16 on the morning of Saturday, December 3 at 10:00 AM ET. The games will run through December 6.

Where can I watch the USA-Netherlands match in the 2022 World Cup?

Fox This showdown will be carried on the main channel over the air to ensure the widest audience. The game will also be broadcast on Peacock.

Who would prefer to win the USA-Netherlands match in the 2022 World Cup?

It does not look good for the United States. The Netherlands are heavily favored to win, with a probability of 49%. The probability of winning the USA is only 23%. (It’s basically the opposite of the odds from the US/Iran game.)

The chance of a tie is 28%.

What is the schedule for the round of sixteen matches in the 2022 World Cup?

Saturday 3rd December

Netherlands versus the United States10:00 a.m. ET on Fox and Peacock

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Argentina vs Australia2:00 p.m. on FS1 and Peacock

Sunday, December 4th

France versus Poland10:00 a.m. ET on FS1 and Peacock

England and Senegal2:00 p.m. on FS1 and Peacock

Monday, December 5th

Japan vs Croatia10:00 a.m. ET on FS1 and Peacock

Brazil vs South Korea2:00 p.m. ET on FS1 and Peacock

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Tuesday, December 6th

Morocco vs Spain10:00 a.m. ET on FS1 and Peacock

Portugal vs Switzerland2:00 p.m. ET on FS1 and Peacock

Can I watch the 2022 World Cup if I don’t have a cable subscription?

on Saturday? yes. Fox will carry the World Cup, as will Telemundo, both of which can be picked up via an over-the-air antenna in most cities, meaning you’ll be able to watch even if you don’t have a cable subscription.

To ensure that you are getting the most reliable signal, be sure to test the antenna in multiple locations in your home. Note, however, that you won’t be able to watch games on FS1, which will carry a number of games for English fans.

How can I stream the 2022 World Cup if I don’t have a cable subscription?

There are several options:

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peacock

broadcast service on NBC It is the home of live World Cup broadcasts, featuring all 64 matches broadcast by Spain. There will also be an on-demand broadcast of completed matches. (Note that there’s no English-language streaming alternative announced yet. You can get a free seven-day trial, followed by $5 or $10 per month. (The Peacock free version doesn’t include live sports.)

Hulu With live TV

Free trial on this service It is also no longer shown. It will cost you $70 per month.

The YouTube

After up to Two-week trialYou can expect a monthly fee of $65.

sling tv

Dish Network’s Sling’s lowest-tier “Orange” plan will set you back $35 per month. Adding the more comprehensive Blue plan brings the cost to $50 per month. You’ll first get a free seven-day trial — and for now, the cord-cutting service cuts your first month’s bill in half.

DirecTV Stream

Formerly known as DirecTV Now, AT&T TVNow, and AT&T TV, this A frequently renamed streaming service You will get $70 per month and up after the free trial option.

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Fubo TV

This sport that focuses on cutting the rope Services Carries broadcast networks in most markets. There is a seven-day free trial, followed by a monthly fee of between $70 and $100, depending on the channels you choose.

How does the knockout phase of the World Cup work?

From now on, win or go home. Each match is single elimination and there are no ties.

If the game is still tied after 90 minutes, it goes into 30 minutes of extra time. If things still don’t settle down after 120 minutes of total play, it will be settled in a penalty shootout. Each side takes turns shooting the ball from the penalty spot as the goalkeeper attempts to stop the shot. The team that scores the most goals out of five attempts wins.

If things continue even after those five kicks, the penalty shoot-out continues until “one team scores more goals than the other from the same number of kicks,” according to FIFA.

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Microsoft is ready to fight for the $69 billion Activision deal

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(Bloomberg) — Microsoft is ready to fight over its $69 billion acquisition of Activision Blizzard Inc. If sued, the US Federal Trade Commission seeks to block the deal, according to a person familiar with the matter.

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The Xbox maker has not been in talks with the FTC about remedies or waivers intended to approve the deal, said the person, who asked not to be identified discussing a confidential matter. The person added that FTC staff are wrapping up their investigation and are expected to make a recommendation soon. The FTC commissioners will then vote on whether to file a case.

In the event that the FTC attempts to block the case, Microsoft is preparing to challenge that decision in court, said the person, who requested anonymity speaking about the internal strategy. Jennifer Rhee, an antitrust analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, said it wouldn’t surprise her if the FTC filed a lawsuit seeking to block the deal, but noted that a court battle would be hard for its enforcers to win and Microsoft could prevail — though the legal battle could stretch. after the deal’s expiry date. Microsoft said it expects to close the deal by June 30.

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Another option for Microsoft would be to abandon the deal in the face of a challenge from the Federal Trade Commission. That’s what the company did in 1995 when the US government sued to block its acquisition of Intuit Inc. to manufacture accounting software, as Microsoft said it did not want to face a long legal battle.

Microsoft’s best chance of winning approval to buy Activision is to convince the Biden administration to accept a settlement in which it promises it will not withhold its popular titles from competitors.

But Biden’s antitrust enforcers aren’t fond of such agreements — especially after the Ticketmaster bombing this month brought to light a failed 2010 Justice Department settlement with Live Nation Entertainment Inc.

The FTC takes a tough approach to mergers, especially when it comes to technology and digital markets, but has not indicated whether it plans to sue to block the deal.

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In July, the agency filed a lawsuit to block Meta Platforms Inc. From the purchase of the virtual reality application Fitness Inside, claiming that the deal can eliminate competition in a small number of markets, referred to as “emerging competition”.

Microsoft and the Federal Trade Commission declined to comment. Politico reported last week that the Federal Trade Commission is likely to challenge the deal.

The US is one of at least three jurisdictions in which regulators have raised questions about the mega deal, which would dramatically change the landscape of video games and put Microsoft in third place in the global gaming market behind Tencent Holdings Ltd. and Sony Group Corp.

European and UK antitrust regulators have raised questions about whether the popular Call of Duty game franchise will still be available to gamers on Sony’s PlayStation console and whether the merger will allow Microsoft to take a dominant role in the burgeoning but still small market for cloud gaming services.

Microsoft has offered Sony a deal whereby Call of Duty games will be available on PlayStation for ten years, though the companies will need to put in place financial terms to the agreement, the person said.

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That person said the software giant advised regulators of these discussions, but did not submit a formal remedy proposal because the review process had not progressed to that stage.

It doesn’t make financial or strategic sense for Microsoft to keep the best-selling PlayStation game franchise because more copies of games are sold on PlayStation than on Xbox and because such a move would anger gamers in a way that could have negative implications for Microsoft. In fact, the acquisition wouldn’t be financially viable for Microsoft if it cut Call of Duty to PlayStation, the person said.

Given the various stages of various investigations around the world, Microsoft will likely discuss this move first with the European Commission, which has set March 23 as the deadline for completing its in-depth review of the deal.

The person said Microsoft hopes the remedies it provides to the European Union will be sufficient globally. However, UK regulators will likely want additional steps from the company.

The UK’s Competition and Markets Authority is currently under an in-depth investigation of the deal after an initial investigation found concerns in game consoles, multi-game subscription services and cloud gaming marketplaces.

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The agency said in an October document outlining the scope of its investigation that it was concerned that the deal could allow Microsoft to gain massive market power that would allow it to cut out competitors such as Sony. Although Microsoft promised it would not do so because of reputational damage to Xbox or Call of Duty, the watchdog said it had not identified “convincing evidence” to believe the statements.

Scrutiny of the dominance of big tech companies by the UK agency has intensified since it gained new powers post-Brexit.

Microsoft and the CMA will appear at a key party hearing in mid-December, part of the UK merger process that will allow them to segment and test the parties’ arguments. The agency is expected to make an interim decision by January, and the deadline for a full decision is March.

— With assistance from Emily Birnbaum and Stephanie Bodoni.

(Updates to add the previous acquisition challenge in the fourth paragraph.)

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